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Rising inflation threatens Liverpool mid-market stability

As inflation reaches 10.1% in the UK, mid-sized business leaders in Liverpool are bracing for the impact of further financial strain, with more than 1 in 10 respondents to Grant Thornton UK LLP’s August Business Outlook Tracker* saying they would not have sufficient working capital to manage inflation rising to 11%.

The Business Outlook Tracker, which polled 53 Liverpool mid-market business leaders in early August, found that all those surveyed have seen cost increases across the board. The biggest increases were seen in costs for technology, energy, and recruitment.

Many businesses in Liverpool have already taken remedial action to manage rising costs and defend profit margins. Nearly half have frozen recruitment (45%), passed on price increases to their customers (43%), and deferred investment in R&D (43%).

Over half (58%) of the Liverpool based respondents expect that the UK economy will fall into recession before the end of 2022. With the latest official GDP estimate confirming that UK economic output contracted in Q2 and Citi Bank’s latest forecast of inflation potentially hitting 18% before the end of 2022, over three quarters (85%) of the respondents expect increases in their operating costs to have a material impact on their profit this year.

David Hillan, Head of Tax at Grant Thornton UK LLP’s Liverpool office, said:

“The pace of change in costs has been extraordinary. It’s hard to believe that inflation has risen from 3% in August last year to over 10% today. Before the pandemic, the greatest uncertainty for British business leaders was the fallout from Brexit but, since the first national lockdown, rapid, unpredictable change has become a constant.

“One of the key responses that we’ve seen our clients implement is the frequency with which they review and reassess costs – annual reviews are no longer sufficient; businesses are, in many cases, having daily discussions with both suppliers and customers about pricing. Set prices are being replaced with cost plus prices, which ensure the customer pays the supplier cost plus an agreed margin.

“These regular conversations highlight the need for businesses to have excellent customer and supplier relationships and communications. This agility and collaboration enables quick response to change and helps to maintain stability in the supply chain.

“This type of rapid change, which impacts so significantly on profit margins, presents an opportunity to develop innovative solutions which reduce reliance on fixed costs in favour of more sustainable solutions. For example, the massive increases in energy bills are one of the biggest price shocks to hit businesses this year. Business leaders can use this as a chance to revisit their operations to find opportunities to become more energy efficient and less reliant on third-party suppliers. This could be through investment in green technology such as solar or wind, or simple solutions such as reducing energy use, changing delivery frequencies, or moving operations to more sustainable buildings.”

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Notes to editors  *The Grant Thornton Business Outlook Tracker is a bi-monthly survey of mid-market businesses. Censuswide (on behalf of Grant Thornton UK LLP) surveyed 53 senior decision makers in Liverpool’s mid-market businesses between 28 July – 8 August 2022. The UK mid-market is defined as companies with an annual turnover between £50million – £500million.  About Grant Thornton UK LLP  Grant Thornton is one of the world’s leading organisations of independent assurance, tax and advisory firms. We are an adviser that delivers technical expertise and a personal, proactive and agile service that goes beyond.  The UK member firm is part of a global network that employs 58,000 people in 135 countries. We combine global scale with local insight and understanding to build relationships and deliver the services you need to realise your ambitions.  The UK Grant Thornton member firm is led by over 200 partners and employs over 5000 of the profession’s brightest minds. We are a business adviser that celebrates fresh thinking and diverse perspectives to bring you proactive insights and a service you can trust.  Find out more at @GrantThorntonUK  © 2022 Grant Thornton UK LLP. All rights reserved.  ‘Grant Thornton’ refers to the brand under which the Grant Thornton member firms provide assurance, tax and advisory services to their clients and/or refers to one or more member firms, as the context requires. Grant Thornton UK LLP is a member firm of Grant Thornton International Ltd (GTIL). GTIL and the member firms are not a worldwide partnership. GTIL and each member firm is a separate legal entity. Services are delivered by the member firms. GTIL does not provide services to clients. GTIL and its member firms are not agents of, and do not obligate, one another and are not liable for one another’s acts or omissions. This publication has been prepared only as a guide. No responsibility can be accepted by us for loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from acting as a result of any material in this publication. 

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